Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000864 0.000928 0.000994 0.001070 0.001154 0.001244 0.001349
2025-12-21 0.000759 0.000842 0.000935 0.001045 0.001175 0.001323 0.001506
2025-12-28 0.000668 0.000757 0.000860 0.000987 0.001141 0.001325 0.001563
2026-01-04 0.000608 0.000701 0.000811 0.000950 0.001125 0.001340 0.001630
2026-01-11 0.000570 0.000668 0.000785 0.000937 0.001133 0.001383 0.001732
2026-01-18 0.000542 0.000644 0.000768 0.000932 0.001150 0.001435 0.001849
2026-01-25 0.000588 0.000713 0.000870 0.001086 0.001385 0.001795 0.002428
2026-02-01 0.000549 0.000672 0.000828 0.001046 0.001354 0.001786 0.002471
2026-02-08 0.000518 0.000640 0.000796 0.001018 0.001336 0.001792 0.002536
2026-02-15 0.000497 0.000618 0.000776 0.001005 0.001338 0.001828 0.002649
2026-02-22 0.000472 0.000592 0.000750 0.000980 0.001321 0.001832 0.002710
2026-03-01 0.000448 0.000565 0.000720 0.000950 0.001294 0.001818 0.002738
2026-03-08 0.000428 0.000545 0.000702 0.000939 0.001300 0.001866 0.002896
2026-03-15 0.000407 0.000522 0.000679 0.000919 0.001293 0.001892 0.003019
2026-03-22 0.000378 0.000488 0.000638 0.000870 0.001236 0.001831 0.002975
2026-03-29 0.000357 0.000463 0.000610 0.000839 0.001205 0.001812 0.003007
2026-04-05 0.000344 0.000449 0.000596 0.000828 0.001206 0.001845 0.003145
2026-04-12 0.000333 0.000438 0.000587 0.000824 0.001217 0.001899 0.003332
2026-04-19 0.000359 0.000481 0.000659 0.000953 0.001465 0.002412 0.004612
2026-04-26 0.000342 0.000459 0.000632 0.000920 0.001426 0.002377 0.004636
2026-05-03 0.000327 0.000442 0.000611 0.000896 0.001403 0.002370 0.004725
2026-05-10 0.000317 0.000430 0.000599 0.000885 0.001402 0.002409 0.004939
2026-05-17 0.000305 0.000415 0.000581 0.000864 0.001381 0.002403 0.005037